Tag Archives: 2024PresidentialCampaign

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The Broadside | Democrats Panic, But Don’t Get Cocky

Political polls are notoriously imprecise, but they do give us a sense of what the electorate might be thinking. Some recent polls have put Democrats into a tailspin, including this one from NBC “News.”

In the new poll — which was conducted Oct. 4-8 — Harris gets support from 48% of registered voters in a head-to-head matchup, while Trump gets an identical 48%. Another 4% say they are undecided or wouldn’t vote for either option when forced to choose between those two major-party candidates.

That’s a change from September’s NBC News poll, which found Harris leading Trump by 5 points, 49%-44%, though that result was within the margin of error.

An expanded ballot including third-party candidates also shows this shift, with 47% of registered voters in the new poll picking Trump, 46% supporting Harris and a combined 7% picking other candidates or saying they’re undecided.

Because national polls are also notoriously biased in favor of Democrats, the latest findings mean that Trump has opened up a considerable lead.

The results align with a recent Wall Street Journal poll. Via Breitbart:

The NBC poll reflects other poll results, with the Wall Street Journal poll showing Trump leading Harris, 46%-45%, nationwide. The Journal says that the result in swing states is too close to call but currently gives Harris the edge.

CNN is worried too, now that Republicans have a “GOP ADVANTAGE for the first time in many years.”

If swing states are becoming “too close to call” (as the WSJ puts it above), that bodes well for Trump; if one swing state is in play, it essentially means that all swing states are in play. The GOP ADVANTAGE is beginning to show up in some swing states. Activist Scott Pressler, who leads Early Vote Action PAC, is seeing the difference in Pennsylvania.

“Let’s talk about the data for a second and why I think, objectively, we’re in the best place to win Pennsylvania [compared to] four or even eight years ago,” Presler told Morning Wire.

“Two things that really stick out to me are, a.) Since 2020, we have actually cut in half the amount of registered Democrats in the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, where they had an advantage of 650,000 four years ago,” he explained. “Now that advantage has been narrowed to 333,000.”

“But the other thing that leads me to believe that President Trump has a real shot at winning Pennsylvania is that Democrats are down 416,000 mail-in ballot requests from where they were four years ago at the same time,” Presler revealed.

Voters are also reassessing their experience under President Trump’s first term.

He then noted further polling indicating that only a quarter of families say Biden-era policies are helping their family, whereas 45% say they are “hurting” them. 

“And then here’s the interesting twist. We also asked folks, ‘Think back to when Donald Trump was president. Did his policies help or hurt your family?’ And look at the difference, 44% helping, 31 hurting. Trump’s — the retrospective, you would say, opinion of Trump’s presidency among voters, arguably higher now than when he was president,” Kornacki said. 

For some people, the biggest indicator that Trump will win is his lead in betting odds.

Former President Trump took a double-digit lead in the betting odds over Vice President Kamala Harris for the first time since July, signaling potential momentum for the former president as Election Day draws near.

Trump opened up a 10-point lead in the Real Clear Politics betting average on Sunday, his largest lead over Harris and the largest lead any candidate has enjoyed since the former president’s 10-point lead on July 31.

The lead comes as some in Democratic circles have attempted to quell panic within the ranks after recent polling that has seemingly trended toward Trump,

This is all good for president-in-exile Donald J. Trump. But as I’ve said before, especially since the last presidential election, don’t get cocky. The Democrats don’t want to, and don’t intend to, lose. The only way we can prevent the inevitable cheating that they will engage in to preserve their power is to make the margin of victory so big that they can’t possibly manufacture enough votes to win.

Get registered (if you still can) and make every effort to get out and vote on November 5. And bring someone with you to vote too.

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Daily Broadside | Trump Winning Streak Ends But No One Cares

Haley wins a round, but it doesn’t matter.

Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley notched her first victory of the 2024 primary campaign, besting former President Trump in Washington, D.C.

Haley won the contest with nearly 63% of the vote, according to an Associated Press call of the race about 90 minutes after polls closed Sunday. The results mean the former South Carolina governor will walk away with 19 delegates.

Sunday’s primary had a lower turnout than in 2016. The tally now stands at 244 for Trump and 43 for Haley.

“In Washington, D.C.” is all you need to know about Haley’s win.

Washington, D.C., represented Haley’s possible best shot at notching a victory and ending Trump’s undefeated primary streak. While Trump won the district in an uncontested 2020 primary, he finished a distant third behind Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida and former Ohio Gov. John Kasich during the 2016 primary. The district also leans heavily Democrat, with President Biden garnering 92% of the Washington, D.C., vote in the 2020 election.

“Leans”? LOL.

All this win does is give Haley some false hope and a talking point about why she should remain in the race. After Super Tuesday’s results, we can put the race to bed and begin focusing on the November election, with Trump facing whoever the Democrats decide to put on the ballot.

Trump has so far made easy work of this year’s GOP primary, notching victories in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Virgin Islands, South Carolina and Michigan. The seemingly easy stream of wins has solidified the former president’s front-runner status in the race, with the campaign telling Fox News Digital ahead of the results that they have already begun to look forward to the general election.

“Republican voters have delivered resounding wins for President Trump in every single primary contest and this race is over,” a spokesperson for the campaign said. “Our focus is now on Joe Biden and the general election.”

Nimarata Nikki Randhawa Haley is delaying the inevitable.

Just drop out already.

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Daily Broadside | So Claims of Cheating Were Right: Trump Actually Won in 2020

In the run-up to the presidential election of 2016, I was NOT a fan of Donald J. Trump. I didn’t like him because he was loud, abrasive, mean, and had a habit of running his stream-of-consciousness mouth off and boasting about all the winning we would do and how he’d get Mexico to pay for his big, beautiful wall without explaining any of it.

But I also had some private admiration for the man. He had the cojones to raise his hand when Bret Baier asked if any of the Republican candidates for president wouldn’t commit to supporting the eventual nominee. Remember that?

Like him or not, Trump was his own man and completely shook up the establishment in 2016.

After watching him for four years and waking up to the deep state and the vile Obiden team, I enthusiastically voted for Trump, only to watch the election be stolen from me and the other millions of Americans who voted for him.

I’ll never forget the comment that someone wrote at me (yes, “at me”) when I expressed my disbelief that our current administration had legitimately won with “81 million” votes for a guy that campaigned from his basement while Trump was hosting packed stadiums.

She wrote, “That many people hated Trump so much that they voted for Biden.”

No way. No way am I believing that. There were so many credible reports of fraud, not to mention all those votes counted after polling closed as reams of ballots were pulled out from under tables and fed into tabulation machines.

I watched as courts, which should have known better, refuse to hear the lawsuits filed as evidence piled up. I was told that “even judges appointed by Republicans” were refusing to take the cases, as if a judge appointed by a Republican was somehow an unimpeachable fact.

I write all that as prologue because now comes a report that basically proves what I and millions of others have claimed all along: that the 2020 election was stolen and Joe Biden is a fraudulent “president.”

With the 2024 election season in full swing, and a Trump-Biden rematch appearing likely, Americans deserve to know that mail-in voting fraud likely changed the outcome of the 2020 election. In recent years, mail-in voting has become more commonplace. However, in 2020, mail-in voting reached an all-time record due to pandemic policies encouraging mail-in voting.

These abrupt and capricious changes to voting procedures in the months before the 2020 election occurred despite the fact that ample evidence showed that mass mail-in voting, unsecure ballot drop boxes, ballot harvesting, and lack of signature verification would result in a flood of fraudulent ballots that would undermine the accuracy of the election results.

A groundbreaking poll conducted by The Heartland Institute and Rasmussen Reports in November/December 2023 attempted to assess the degree of fraudulent voting that may have taken place. The results were stunning. Some of the most important findings from the poll include:

  • 21% of mail-in voters admitted that in 2020 they voted in a state where they are “no longer a permanent resident.”
  • 21% of mail-in voters admitted that they filled out a ballot for a friend or family member
  • 17% of mail-in voters said they signed a ballot for a friend or family member “with or without his or her permission.”
  • 19% of mail-in voters said that a friend or family member filled out their ballot, in part or in full, on their behalf.

Cleanest, fairest, most transparent election in history!

After examining the raw survey data provided by Rasmussen, we found that 28.2% of all mail-in respondents admitted to committing at least one of the four types of fraud asked in the survey, meaning that more than one-in-four ballots cast by mail in 2020 were likely cast fraudulently, and thus should not have been counted.

This policy study takes the results of the Heartland/Rasmussen survey and applies them directly to the six swing states that Biden won by razor-thin margins in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Because Biden voters cast mail-in ballots at a much higher rate than Trump voters, any level of fraud almost certainly benefited Biden to a significantly greater degree than Trump.

In addition to the 28.2% fraud scenario, the study analyzes the electoral results for every fraud integer from 27% down to 1%. In every instance except the 3%, 2%, and 1% fraud scenarios, our results indicate that Trump would have won the Electoral College in the 2020 U.S. presidential election had fraudulent mail-in ballots not been counted. Hence, even if the level of fraud detected in the Heartland/Rasmussen survey (28.2% of all mail-in ballots) substantially overstated voter fraud by multiple orders of magnitude, Trump would likely still have won the 2020 election. 

Ultimately, our study clearly shows that if the 2020 election had been as free, fair, and secure as past elections have been, Donald Trump would almost certainly have been re-elected to a second term. As the country braces for a Trump-Biden rematch, it is imperative that state legislatures do all that they can to ensure the next election is as secure as possible, primarily by severely limiting mail-in voting and instituting other commonsense policies to prevent mail-in voter fraud. If state lawmakers do not pass measures to thwart the possibility of extensive voter fraud occurring again, more Americans will question the legitimacy of  future elections, further eroding the American people’s trust in our nation’s democratic institutions.

Trump had been riding a wave of a great economy, no new wars, peace agreements in the Middle East, low gas prices because we were drilling our own oil, and illegal aliens had been brought under some sort of control. And we’re supposed to think that Handsy Joe, patriarch of the Biden Crime Family, ginned up enough energy among the people to get the most votes ever recorded?

As if.

Editor-in-Chief Mollie Hemingway of The Federalist testifies before Congress about the harm being done by the types of election “interference” that cost Republicans the 2020 election and threaten the 2024 election.

So…Trump won in 2020, as we all knew he did. And it will be the same in 2024 if the spineless GOP doesn’t start playing hardball with state legislatures. Fortunately, fake conservative Mitt Romney’s niece, Ronna McDaniel, who was appointed by Trump, is finally stepping down as chair of the RNC, which has consistently lost elections under her “leadership”—all while grifting off the unsuspecting, well-intentioned, good conservatives who expect Republicans to be fighting for us.

It’s not much, but it’s a start.

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Daily Broadside | DeSantis To Declare for Republican Presidential Race in 2024

Sorry for the radio silence over the last few days. I traveled this past weekend and didn’t have anyone to cover for me. Anybody got a spare $300k so I can take the next three years to write and build on current readership? Hit the tip jar and email me at info@daveolsson.com.

Okay, barring a miraculous $300k, we’ll just have to keep plodding along with what we can do in our off hours, right? Today you should be looking for Ron DeSantis to announce his 2024 candidacy for president of the United States during a discussion with Elon Musk on Twitter.

I’m intrigued with DeSantis. Unlike Trump, he seems to have a genuine (Catholic) Christian faith. He recently shared the stage with Franklin Graham at the International Christian Media Convention hosted by the National Religious Broadcasters in Orlando, Florida, where he said, “Make no mistake, weaponized government is one faction of society turning the reins of power against those people they don’t like. And the people that are in power now do not like people of faith.”

He’s racking up victories in Florida, including these from this report:

When Walt Disney Co (DIS.N), one of Florida’s biggest employers, opposed the so-called “Don’t Say Gay” law that limited discussion of LGBTQ issues in schools, DeSantis moved to strip the company of its self-governing status.

Disney has since filed a federal lawsuit against the governor, accusing him of weaponizing state government to retaliate against the company.

When an elected Democratic state attorney said he would not prosecute anyone for defying DeSantis-backed limits on abortion, DeSantis removed him from his position.

He has made crusading against what Republicans call “woke” education policies a centerpiece of his politics while supporting conservative candidates for local school boards.

He backed a legislative measure that prohibits the teaching of “Critical Race Theory” – an academic doctrine that views U.S. history through the lens of oppression – in state public schools despite little evidence it was being taught.

Republican lawmakers in Florida handed DeSantis a bevy of conservative victories in its recent session: They expanded the state’s school voucher program, prohibited the use of public money in sustainable investing, scrapped diversity programs at public universities, allowed for permitless carry of concealed weapons and, perhaps most notably, banned almost all abortions in the state.

DeSantis declared that, “At the end of the day, we’re not going to let this state be overrun by woke ideology,” he said. “We will fight the woke in the businesses, we will fight the woke in government agencies, we will fight the woke in our schools. We will never, ever surrender to the woke agenda. Florida is the state where woke goes to die.”

Perhaps as president DeSantis could make the whole country a giant chemo bath for woke ideology.

He also seems completely unfazed by Trump’s attacks on him, using the nickname “Ron DeSanctimonious.” In fact, when asked about Trump facing arrest over payments to Stormy Daniels, DeSantis said, “Look, I don’t know what goes into paying hush money to a porn star to secure silence over some type of alleged affair,” a subtle shot at Trump’s alleged crime now being prosecuted by the Soros-bought prosecutor Alvin Bragg. So DeSantis can handle himself just fine when it comes to Trump.

There are some broader questions about how in debt DeSantis is with the GOPe — the establishment Republicans. Is he an independent thinker, or is he beholden to the spineless elites who merely want to hold on to the power and money they control? Rght now I don’t see it, but time will tell.

I welcome him to the race, even though our elections are now shot through with “fortifying” them — in favor of the Democrats. DeSantis is a refreshing choice in as we begin to size up the 2024 election. He seems to have Trump-sized brass without all the self-inflicted wounds that Trump’s lack of verbal discipline costs him.

Truth be told — right now, if either Trump or DeSantis were the Republican nominee, I’d vote for either one of them. Anybody but Brandon or whoever they stick in front of us.