The Broadside | Two Political Analysts Predict Opposite Outcomes in November

Welcome back!

No, not you.

Me!

Hard to believe that it’s been over a month since I last posted. That’s the longest I’ve gone without a post over the last four-and-half years. I’d apologize, but I can’t say I’m sorry.

August was a month full of travel and working diligently to complete that project and this past week one of my littles had a little. I’m a grandfather and now I smell like menthol and wear suspenders and carry Werther’s candy in my pockets.

AnyH0oO.

The last time we were together I believe Joe “my word as a Biden” Brandon was still the Resident. A lot has happened since then, amiright? The Demokraken, champions of “muh democracy,” forced Joey Vanilla Bean out of the race and installed Cacklin’ KUHmala without so much as the courtesy of citizen input in the form of a primary.

Nope, the Democalvinists predetermined that their tribe chose KaMAHla. How’s that working out?

The formula Allan Lichtman has used to correctly predict nearly every presidential race since 1984, his “Keys to the White House,” was developed in 1981 with mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok and is based on their analysis of presidential elections dating back to 1860. The “keys” consist of 13 true or false questions, parameters that, if true, favor stability. 

“The way it works is real simple. If six or more keys — any six — go against the White House party, they are predicted losers. Otherwise, they’re predicted winners,” Lichtman told Fox News Digital this week. “And by the way, this also led to a prediction of Donald Trump’s win, which made me virtually alone in making that prediction in 2016.” 

Lichtman says the Democrats represented by Harris could lose five keys “at most” and that is why he is predicting that “we are going to have a precedent-breaking election and Kamala Harris will become the first woman President of the United States.”

There you have it. Get used to Mrs. President’s cackling after a vapid, vacuous, and uninspiring word salad, “unburdened by what has been.”

The only saving grace is that Lichtman has been wrong once before, which means his method of prediction isn’t foolproof. Even Tom Brady lost a Super Bowl or three.

So, for instance, there’s also this:

A liberal pollster’s latest projection shows Donald Trump securing a blowout victory over Kamala Harris.

Nate Silver’s prediction places the Republican hopeful’s chances of winning the electoral college vote at 63.8 percent, compared to 36 percent for Harris.

Silver’s modelling, published on his blog Silver Bulletin, also places Trump ahead in all of the crucial swing states.

He predicts 312 electoral college votes for Trump versus 226 for Harris in a no toss-up map.

The figure is a massive upswing on the 227 Trump secured against Biden in 2020 and even an improvement on his victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016 when he romped to the White House with 304 electoral college votes.

That’s encouraging. But I have to warn you, if it’s anywhere close, the Democrats will cheat. They did it in 2020 and they’re figuring out how to do it in 2024. They’ll flood a toilet in Arizona again which will stop the counting in six swing states and then truck in the pallet-loads of ballots to feed the voting machines and we’ll see KamaLA suddenly overcome Trump’s victory.

By all that’s logical, Trump’s going to be elected for the third time this fall. But may God have mercy on the U.S. if Kamalarama is the certified winner.

The Broadside | Harris Gets a Bump in the Polls, But Will It Last?

I took a break from posting last week to concentrate on two major projects that were coming due by this weekend. I’m happy to report that I got them both done and they were well received.

So, anything happen while I was away?

The presidential race just got very interesting and is full of intrigue. When Joe Biden ceased to be useful, they turned on him, just like a Marxist would. The Democrats, true to form, forced out the candidate chosen by the people and installed a do-nothing diversity hire to be their flag bearer.

While that’s “exciting” and pumps some new life into the race, I expect that the bump she’s experienced in the polls will be short lived as people begin to discover how extreme her positions are and that she’s a vapid pol trading on nothing more than the color of her skin and her double-X chromosomes.

And don’t @ me about that, because the Left shoves that superficial nonsense down our throats and then calls us ‘racist’ when we point it out. Make up your mind, progressives—is skin color and XX virtuous or not?

Never mind. You can’t even tell us what a woman is, so don’t bother.

The likely 2024 presidential election campaign between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump begins with no clear leader, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS after President Joe Biden ended his bid for reelection.

Trump holds 49% support among registered voters nationwide to Harris’ 46%, a finding within the poll’s margin of sampling error. That’s a closer contest than earlier CNN polling this year had found on the matchup between Biden and Trump.

Trump earlier led Biden in the same poll by 6 points. So Harris has improved the Democrat position by 1 point. Big deal.

The survey finds voters widely supportive of both Biden’s decision to step aside and his choice to remain in office through the end of his term. Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters are broadly enthusiastic about Harris and willing to coalesce around her as the new presumptive nominee, even as they remain deeply divided on whether Biden’s Democratic successor should seek to continue his policies or chart a new course.

[…]

But Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters are closely split over whether the next nominee should continue Biden’s policies (53%) or take the country in a new direction (47%). Desire for a new direction is largely concentrated among younger voters and voters of color.

This ought to be interesting. Continue with the extremist policies on energy, immigration and the economy? Or take it in a new direction toward … what? Even more extreme policies? The woman can’t even be bothered to meet with the president of Israel for fear of alienating the Islamists in Dearborn and Minneapolis.

The Democrats aren’t going to moderate anything.

But if we’re lucky, we’ll see Harris’s weaknesses start tripping her up, especially when (and if) she debates Trump. I expect that the polls will show her support dropping over the next few weeks.

The unspoken wild card remains the cheat. Democrats loathe being out of power and they will do anything they can to keep it. Just look at what they did to their own democratically-elected candidate.

The Broadside | Trump Accepts the Republican Nomination for President and Gives Acceptance Speech

I watched all of Donald J. Trump’s acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention last night and “live blogged” as it progressed. Here’s my impressions.

Dana White introduces Donald J. Trump. Trump is a proven leader, a fearless leader, who never gives up. Lee Greenwood sings “God Bless the USA.” Trump emerges during the song and Corey Comperatore’s helmet and coat come out to be on stage during his speech. Nice touch.

He says he’s here to lay out a vision for all Americans. We rise together or we fall apart. There’s no winning for just half the country.

Trump tells the story of surviving the attempted assassination. “You’ll only hear it from me once because it’s too painful to tell.”

He sounds subdued. The Ms. says he sounds sad.

Trump praises the Secret Service. Wow! Tough to reconcile that with the bumbling images we saw. But he has to work with them now and, should he be elected, again in the White House, so probably wise. But he needs to dump the Director of the SS when he gets back in the White House.

“I had God on my side. I felt that.” I have no reason to doubt that.

Spending a lot of time on the shot; his ears; the crowd “that didn’t want to leave me.”

He says, “I’m not supposed to be here tonight …” and the crowd begins to chant, “Yes you are!” “Yes you are!” “Yes you are!”

“I stand here only by the grace of Almighty God.” That is humble and, I think, more genuine than I’ve heard in the past. Maybe being grazed by a bullet whizzing past your noggin does that to you. He came within a pencil’s width of buying the farm.

Trump is full of hyperbole … that’s his style. Everything is “the greatest” and “like you’ve never seen” and “in the history of our country.”

He has raised $6.3 million for the families of those affected by the assassination attempt. I think asking the crowd to observe a moment of silence for Comperatore is a good move. He’s almost (almost) being pastoral (in a Trumpian way).

The fighter in him comes forward, but again, it’s very subdued. “I’m more determined than ever. Our resolve is unbroken. Nothing will stop me in this mission. I will never stop fighting for you, your family, our magnificent country.”

He goes after the Democrat party. “I am the one saving democracy for the people of our country.” I like that he states the obvious truth.

Entire case in Florida thrown out of court. “Drop the partisan witch hunts.” Again, an appeal to unity. We know it will fall on deaf ears, but now the Democrats will have to respond top that appeal. Trump is being positive and all about pulling the nation together, while the Dems demonize half the country. Very stark contrast.

I’m really surprised by how low his energy seems to be. Reminds me of his jab at “low energy Jeb” during the 2016 campaign.

“I am trying to buy your vote!” Good for a laugh.

Turns his attention to laying out a vision for all of America. Recounts some of his accomplishments in his first administration.

  • Right to try.
  • Space force.
  • Reduced regulations.
  • Cut taxes.

“We have to rescue our nation from incompetent leadership.” Isn’t that the truth!

We have an inflation issue. Illegal immigration crisis. Massive invasion: they spread misery, poverty, crime. International crisis: war in Europe and Middle East; teetering on the edge of World War III.

“I make this pledge: I will end the inflation crisis; “drill, baby, drill” to end energy crisis; leads to a large scale decline in prices.”

“We will pay off debt and reduce taxes even more.”

End the illegal immigration crisis by closing the border and finish the wall. Is most of the wall already built? I’m not sure that’s true. He says it is. This should be fact-checked.

“I will end the wars in Ukraine and Israel.”

“The damage this administration has done” is unbelievable. This is also true.

“We had the greatest economy in the history of the world.” Really? Again — true or hyperbole?

“107% of jobs are being taken by illegal aliens. They’re taking jobs especially from blacks and Hispanics.” I have no doubt this is true; that’s partly why blacks are backing Trump. BTW, how do you take more than 100% of jobs?

“We have our great speaker of the House with us tonight…” He’ll have to work with Mike Johnson, but most of us true conservatives don’t particularly like his leadership.

Talks about the opportunity to become a net energy exporter because we have vast reserves of oil under our feet.

Trump accuses the Dems of spending “trillions of dollars” but so did he when he was in office. The difference is that he had a great economy that could’ve paid down our debt. He promises to do that.

End the electric vehicle mandate on Day One. China is building large car manufacturing plants in Mexico to sell cars in the U.S. without tax. Trump will put a 100 – 200 percent tariffs on them. Good!

“At the center of our plan is massive tax cuts … ‘no tax on tips'” in the service industry … “Let them keep their money.” That’s something I’ve been saying for years: I want a politician who will increase my freedom and let me keep more of my money. Music to my ears but cut my taxes, too.

Illegal immigrant invasion. “Invasion” is his word for it. Totally agree.

People can come but have to come legally. Puts up chart to show what he did about illegal immigration when he was in office, leads to funniest line of the night: “Last time I put up that chart I never really got to look at it.” LOL

Crime rate is going up here and crime statistics are going down in other countries. We’re being laughed at by the rest of the world. Venezuela and El Salvador have dropped crime by 70% … by sending their criminals to the U.S. We will launch the largest deportation operation in our history. This is one promise I hope he can keep.

Kim Jong Un “misses me” LOL

Criticizes Afghanistan withdrawal, Russia operating subs by Cuba. “Never would have happened if I was president.” The hostages being held by Hamas “better be released by the time I’m sworn in.” Good threat.

Well, this is impressive: will build an Iron Dome just like Israel has. Invokes Ronald Reagan and “Star Wars.” America First! And why not? Why shouldn’t we have the very latest technology to protect our homeland?

Rips Biden for promising to cure cancer but nothing happens. Men out of women’s sports … immediately.

“America is on the cusp of a new golden age.” We have to produce massive amounts of energy. AI needs twice the electricity we have now.

Calls out Franklin Graham for asking him not to use foul language. LOL Honors Franklin, Billy Graham, and his own father.

The speech is very much a call to unity. Crowd chants, “Win! Win! Win!”

Overall impression: he hit all the key issues, including the economy, energy independence and the invasion over the southern border. I particularly was impressed with the idea of building an Iron Dome in the US, with promises to drill and become energy independent, and looking at the future of AI. But it was delivered without the “edge” I’m used to. He’s the nominee, so I don’t know that it matters, but I’d like to see some of the combative energy return.

What did you think?

Have a good weekend.

The Broadside | Gross Incompetence or Intentional Malfeasance. Either Way, It’s Not Good

I’m still neck deep in a couple of projects so posting will be light this week, and maybe next. But after the assassination attempt on Donald J. Trump and what’s coming to light about the entire situation, I have to jump in.

The more information we get, the worse it becomes. We’re talking either gross incompetence or intentional malfeasance. Either way, heads should be rolling and both parties should be demanding answers. Of course, the anti-American leftists, the Democrats, after a momentary denunciation of violence, have returned to doing what they do best: criticizing anything and everything, including the oversized bandage on Trump’s wounded ear.

I have nothing good to say about any of them so, as my parents taught me, I won’t say anything at all.

But I will go loud and long about the absolute $#!+show that led up to and followed on from those five shots the 20-year-old would-be assassin squeezed off, killing one man, wounding two others, and narrowly missing the skull of president Trump.

How is this even possible?!

Crooks’s parents warned police he was missing and they were worried about what he was up to hours before the shooting.

The would be assassin, Thomas Matthew Crooks, was noticed as a “person of interest” hours before Trump took the stage.

He was seen using a rangefinder, a device to zero in the sights on a gun. He had a backpack.

There’s video of Crooks casing the area and looking up at the buildings over an hour before the shooting.

Law enforcement observed Crooks for 30 minutes prior to the attempted assassination.

Law enforcement even took a picture of Crooks before the shooting.

Video shows Crooks was seen climbing on the roof with a gun, positioning himself. Rally goers shouted for police but were ignored.

One police officer peeked over the edge of the roof where Crooks was aiming. Crooks turned his gun toward the officer and the officer immediately dropped off to protect himself. He and the officer holding him up on a ladder alerted others that an armed individual was on the roof moments before Trump was shot.

There were LEOs and / or countersnipers in the same building that Crooks was perched on.

A sniper protecting the president had Crooks “in glass” (watching him through a rifle scope) prior to shots being fired.

The Secret Service was aware of the potential threat 10 minutes before Donald Trump took the stage in Pennsylvania but let Trump go on stage anyway.

Once the shots were fired, Secret Service agents immediately returned fire and killed the shooter. WHY DID THEY WAIT UNTIL HE HAD FIRED? None of that makes any sense.

In my opinion, the team of SS agents looked like a bunch of Keystone Kops. They were yelling “what are we doing?!” and one female officer couldn’t even holster her gun. Watch the video in the embedded X post by Michael Yon and look at how lost they look and how uncoordinated their movements are. None of them were in sync:

There aren’t really many choices here. Sean Davis lists four:

For now, I’m on option (2) but wondering how plausible (3) is. What got me to (2) is the obvious lie that a “sloped roof” was too dangerous for agents according to Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle.

Finally, remember this from two weeks ago?

The Broadside | The Unthinkable Happens And Trump Literally Dodges a Bullet

I’ve long warned that we’re on a trajectory toward another civil war and that the failed efforts of the Democrats and the Deep State to “get Trump” were leaving them with the unthinkable: assassination. I never wrote that, of course, not wishing to draw unwanted attention to myself, but I implied it all the same. There have been lots of other people warning that could happen including Tucker Carlson and J.J. Sefton.

Well, now it’s happened, or has been attempted. Since it’s now out in the open, let’s talk about it.

It’s only common sense, given the deeply ingrained Trump Derangement Syndrome that the progressive Left suffers from. Everything from the Russian collusion hoax to the two sham impeachments to the J6 “insurrection” to the “classified documents” raid on Mar-a-lago to the open lawfare on trumped up charges with politically compromised prosecutors, judges and juries, have all failed to stop Trump or his comeback campaign. Now, the ultimate attempt: shooting him dead.

It’s playbook: Destroy his reputation. Doesn’t work? Imprison him. Doesn’t work? Kill him.

Do I believe that the shooter, a twenty-year-old loner, was somehow part of a broader plot to kill Trump? Not in the classic sense of a conspiracy, with him meeting clandestinely with a handler and sitting in smoke-filled rooms plotting his moves. But I think it’s too early to say he acted alone.

Proof? Nothing yet, but remember: I don’t believe anything the government tells me. Not any more. And neither should you. That goes especially for the CIA, the FBI and the DOJ. Ditto DHS, the Secret Service, the ATF, and the IRS.

I’ve got questions.

I was enjoying some Beethoven on the lawn when reports started to trickle in that shots had been fired at a Trump rally. That turned into reports and photos that showed Trump with blood on the side of his face and confirmation that the shooter was dead and so was one rally-goer.

Of course I watched the replay immediately. Trump speaking, the gunshots, Trump flinches, raises his hand to his ear, ducks below the podium.

Then we see two men in black with rifles on top of the buildings behind Trump firing immediately back toward who we assume is the sniper.

The instant I watched that I said out loud: “How did these guys acquire the shooter and return fire so quickly!?!”

They were already positioned with their guns and were aiming in the direction of the shooter. It did not look like they were caught by surprise.

If you don’t know a shot (or shots) are coming, you don’t know where to look. You hear them, but it will take several seconds to acquire where they originate from. It was easy to see that’s true by the security officers standing in front of the podium looking around and looking lost. It was clear they had NO IDEA what was going on or what they should be doing.

But the team of two on top of the building were already dialed in and returned fire immediately. Lo and behold, they did have the shooter in their sights.

How?

Several citizens attending the rally noticed the shooter up on the roof and getting himself situated. Many of them yelled to call attention to him.

There are even reports that a cop confronted the shooter and yet he backed off. That smells fishy.

And how did the Secret Service allow this to happen in the first place? A 20-year-old non-military-type manages to climb up on a roof in full view, lies down to take aim, and squeezes off eight rounds before he’s taken out?

How?!?

I’m sure the FBI and DHS and DOJ and SS will figure it out. But remember this:

House Democrats have introduced a bill that would strip Secret Service protection from convicted felons sentenced to prison, a move directly targeting former President Trump who is currently on criminal trial in New York City for alleged hush money payments made during the 2016 election campaign and faces several other cases which could land him behind bars.

By the way, the guy that introduced that bill, Rep. Bennie Thompson, had to fire one of his staffers who allegedly posted a comment after the shooting that read in part, “don’t miss next time,” in reference to the shooter. So we know what kind of character he and his staff have.

The good news is that Trump survived the assassination attempt. The bad news is that the anti-American Left has taken the rhetoric and violence to new heights, starting with Trump’s election in 2016.

Brandon tried to “unify” the country last night by telling us that we aren’t enemies. Says the guy who has called Trump a wannabe dictator, a threat to the country, and half the country “ultra-MAGA” semi-fascist right wing white supremacist terrorists.

Too little too late, Jack. How about you start with your own house?

I can’t and won’t have anything to do with the progressive left or with anyone who considers themselves a Democrat. That party, as I’ve been saying for a while now, is evil. There’s no making peace with them.

We’re in a war for the country. More and more people are starting to wake up to the fact.

The Broadside | The Spectacular Implosion of the Democrats Continues

So I have a couple of significant projects that are requiring a lot of attention and time these days. I’ll try to get a couple of Broadsides in today and tomorrow.

In the wake of the debate disaster, not only have Biden’s numbers tanked, but Trump’s numbers are soaring. Since we know that the Democrats are lying liars who lie, I always have to issue the disclaimer to not get cocky because we also know that they are cheaters who will do anything to win. Just look at the 2020 election, the lawfare against Donald J. Trump, or the first Oath Keeper J6 trial.

The latest Emerson College Polling survey finds former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in a national matchup, 46% to 43%; 11% are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, 50% support Trump and 50% support Biden. 

Trump beats every Democrat candidate he’s matched with, meaning that Joe Biden can credibly claim that only he (and Harris) are in a position to beat Trump (should the undecided break for Biden).

In the same poll, Independents are breaking for Trump.

New election data shows independent voters breaking for former President Donald J. Trump after the 81-year-old incumbent Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance on June 27—and the subsequent calls by leading Democrats that he drop out of the 2024 presidential race. The polling by Emerson College shows Trump leading among independents with 42 percent of the vote, compared to Biden’s 38 percent. This is an inversion from last month when Biden led 43 percent to Trump’s 41 percent.

On top of that, voter enthusiasm favors Trump.

In addition, Biden‘s impaired debate performance appears to be dampening Democrat enthusiasm ahead of November’s election. Nearly 80 percent of Republican respondents said they were extremely motivated to vote. Meanwhile, just 65 percent of Democrats and 63 percent of independent voters said the same.

As if that weren’t bad enough, a new report says that six states have swung toward Trump.

The Cook Political Report released on Tuesday showed that three states — Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada — have moved from “toss-up” to “lean Republican” while two other states — Minnesota and New Hampshire — have moved from “likely” to “lean Democrat.” Also, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District moved from “likely” to “lean Democrat.”

Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report said the Electoral Map shows that Trump has a “clear advantage” over Biden.

“The notion that the presidential [race] is a Toss Up was a stretch even before the debate,” Wasserman said on X. “Today, Trump has a clear advantage over Biden and a much more plausible path to 270 Electoral votes.”

There is definitely momentum building for Team Trump.

The report also showed that Trump has over a “3-point lead in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada and Biden has less than a percentage point lead in Wisconsin and Michigan,” per the Washington Examiner, while Trump has a 0.7-point lead in Pennsylvania. Walter said that two-point shift in the race could be monumental.

“For example, if Trump were to win the national popular vote by three points, it would be a seven-point improvement from his 2020 showing,” Walter said. “In other words, any state or district that Biden carried by eight points or less would be competitive.”

I don’t know which polls to trust, since most national polls skew liberal. But the wider the gap they show, the better Trump is doing at overcoming any implicit bias in the polling.

Finally, when you’ve lost Jake Tapper, your humiliation is complete.

The Broadside | Yawn! Brandon Works 10-4 and Then Goes to Bed by 8:00. So Vigorous and Sharp!

I hope you had a great July 4th holiday! While we’re in dire straits as a nation, there are still millions of us who love the Red, White and Blue and are willing to tell the commies who have infected our national institutions to get bent.

Love this!

The major issue that has our attention these days is what the Democrats are going to do with the poser in the White House. After his poor showing during the first (and probably only) presidential debate on CNN, the Democrats are in full-fledged panic mode. Many have begun demanding that he drop out of the race so that he can be replaced with a candidate who is more viable.

But the dilemma for them is that the person next in line is Kamala Harris, who by rights as the Value Pick should be the unquestioned nominee should Biden bow out. Indeed, the Washington Post already has an article suggesting that they’re already considering her at the top of the ticket.

On a call Wednesday night with House Democratic leadership led by Jeffries, there was a lot of talk about if not Biden, then who. Many names were discussed but there was no real consensus.

“But there was general awareness that it would be difficult for it to be anyone but Harris,” according to a member who participated in the virtual meeting.

Tim Ryan, a former Ohio congressman and presidential candidate, said in an op-ed that while he loves Biden, Harris should be the Democratic nominee for president after Biden stumbled in a high-profile debate performance last week. Some other possible contenders — including Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and California Gov. Gavin Newsom — probably wouldn’t jump in the race this year and would support Harris if Biden were to remove himself from the ticket, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss private conversations.

Democrats’ growing move to rally around Harris as a potential nominee — almost always with the caveat that Biden remains the choice for now — is a sign that they are gaming out a world without Biden as the party’s standard-bearer, even as they try to blunt years of hand-wringing about Harris’s ability to win the White House on her own.

If you support Trump (as I do) then this scenario is only a little less appealing than if Biden stays in the race. Biden is now a (fatally?) weakened incumbant—his poor recall and inability to articulate a full sentence without slurring or mumbling or losing his train of thought is out there for all to see now.

No thanks to the press.

That bodes well for Trump, who looks absolutely vigorous and sharp—you know, those characteristics we were assured that Joey Sponge Brain demonstrated behind the scenes.

Other reports tell us that Brandon only works from 11:00 am to 4:00 pm. And that he needs a nap. And now that he will stop scheduling events for after 8:00 pm.

President Joe Biden told Democratic governors during a meeting at the White House on Wednesday that part of his plan going forward is to stop scheduling events after 8 p.m. so that he can get more sleep, according to three sources briefed on his comments.

The remarks, first reported by The New York Times, came as the 81-year-old Biden sought to reassure a group of more than 20 state leaders about his ability to defeat former President Donald Trump in November and govern effectively for another four years.

Totally vigorous and up to the challenge! Let’s hope nothing happens before 10:00 AM or after 8:00 PM that he needs to be available for.

The press is doing what they can to help Joey Snow Cone make a decision. The New York Times published a report that quoted an anonymous “ally.”

President Biden has told a key ally that he knows he may not be able to salvage his candidacy if he cannot convince the public in the coming days that he is up for the job after a disastrous debate performance last week.

via PowerLine

The White House denies the report, but other journalists have confirmed it. Who knows? It’s part of the battle of leaks and lies as the Dems try to figure out what to do.

It’s their own fault. The 2020 race was rigged and full of fraud. Serves them right to face a trainwreck of their own making.

Have a great weekend.

The Broadside | Supreme Court Rules Trump Partly Immune To Prosecution; Dems Cry Moar

You may have noticed that I changed the title of my post from “Daily” Broadside to “The Broadside.” It’s apparent to me that as much as I want this to be a daily, it’s been a challenge over the last couple of years to figure out the right mix of priorities in life to make it happen, not to mention the unexpected circumstances that sometimes frustrate my intentions.

So I’m conceding to the reality that I can’t easily make it a daily post and relieving myself (and you) of the expectations the title promised. The change gives me the cover to write as often as I can and when I miss—well, it’s not promising to be daily now, is it?

The best news yesterday was that SCOTUS ruled that U.S. presidents have blanket immunity that covers their “core” acts; their “official” acts may or may not be covered; and “unofficial” acts, have no immunity.

From Ace who knows a whole lot more about this than I do:

The Supreme Court did what many expected it would do: It recognized that presidential immunity exists, but only for certain official actions taken by the president.

First of all, the Court notes that previous decisions have held there is no presidential immunity when it comes to subpoenas for evidence. But the Court rules that these precedents are limited to the case of subpeonaeing records, and do not rule out immunity to criminal prosecution.

It broke the scheme of presidential acts into three categories:

“Core” official acts, which I assume are presidential actions taken in furtherance of the president’s specified duties in the Constitution. So a President could never be prosecuted for conducting foreign policy or directing the military.

“Official” acts, which may or may not qualify for immunity. Which acts are “official” and which of those “official” acts will qualify for immunity has to be decided on a case-by-case basis.

Finally, “unofficial” acts are those that the president undertakes not in furtherance of a presidential power, but only in his capacity as an individual. These never qualify for immunity.

So what this does is puts it back to the lower court to determine what sort of “acts” Trump is being prosecuted for. Were they “Core” acts? “Official” acts? “Unofficial” or personal acts? And how will such acts be defined?

In any case, this will likely push the window for prosecuting Trump past the November election; it certainly stops Jack Smith’s case dead in its tracks.

The usual suspects were pulling out all stops, including Schmuck Chumer.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) criticized the “MAGA SCOTUS” on Monday after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled in favor of former President Donald Trump in his case against January 6th prosecutors.

Former President Donald Trump is facing charges in Washington, D.C., filed by Special Counsel Jack Smith concerning his actions on January 6, 2021, when rioters stormed the Capitol. Trump contends that he is immune from prosecution for his official duties.

As previously reported, the Court ruled that presidents have absolute immunity from criminal prosecution for official acts but not for unofficial acts. The case has been sent back to the trial court to determine the distinction between the two.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer led Democrats in expressing outrage over the 6-3 decision, in which the conservative majority was led by Chief Justice John Roberts. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Schumer blamed the three justices appointed by Trump.

Cry moar, Schmuck.

Daily Broadside | Rematch: Trump says of Biden, “The whole world is blowing up under him.”

I’m going to try doing something I haven’t, which is to watch the debate and react in real time to what I’m seeing and hearing. Things I’m going to be watching for: Tapper and Bash debating Trump instead of letting him speak for himself; Tapper and Bash framing their questions for Trump with hostility instead of a studied detachment; seeing what kind of questions they toss to Biden (hardball or softball? relevant or irrelevant?); watching for Biden to start strong, then start slurring his schpeesh and getting his facts wrong; hoping Trump doesn’t just attack Biden but puts some solid policy solutions out there that will benefit all Americans but especially the white, working middle class that neither the Republicans nor the Democrats care about anymore; and listening for Trump to announce his vice-presidential pick. It better not be Nimrata Nikki Randhawa Haley.

My notes will be in descending order with some general thoughts at the end.

First question on the economy, and Biden blames Trump for what he “inherited.” Biden is already slurring. He sounds groggy. Trump: we had the greatest economy in the history of the U.S. Got us out of Covid mess; we had a great stock market; inflation is killing us.

Trump slams Biden for taking credit for “bounce back jobs” as proof of a great economy. That’s true; he’s counting jobs that were lost during Covid.

Tax cuts: Trump, with trillion dollar deficits, why should there be tax cuts? “Because tax cuts spur the economy.” “We took in more revenue with less tax.” We have the liquid gold right under our feet, oil and gas.

Biden: Trump had the largest national debt; then he says, “I’m going to fix the tax system.” Biden was in the Senate for 50 years and in the presidency for three and never did anything to fix the tax system. He’s gonna start now?

Biden just choked.

Trump is bashing Biden over immigration. (Trump hammered Biden on the open border all debate.)

Roe v Wade: Trump: I got abortion back to the states. Everybody wanted it back to the states. SCOTUS approved the abortion pill and Trump agrees with the decision. They blocked implementation of Iowa’s ban. Trump believes in exceptions to bans on abortion. We’ve gotten it back to the states.

Trump takes credit for “three great justices”, but that’s not really true; they’re not all “great.” Amy Coney Barrett and Brett Kavanaugh aren’t reliable conservatives. Just look at the censorship decision that ACB wrote this week. It’s an attack on 1A.

Biden: the idea that states should rule on abortion is ridiculous, like turning “civil rights” back to the states. He also complains that it was the law for 51 years. Yes, but it was a terrible decision and SCOTUS can overturn previous decisions.

Seven states have no legal restriction on abortion; does Biden support any restrictions? Biden keeps going to back to Roe v. Wade, which is no longer law. He promises to bring Roe v. Wade back. Biden is scare-mongering about what Trump will do if elected.

Immigration: to Biden: why should voters trust you to solve the crisis? “I’ve changed the law …” You bet he has. He makes it sound like he’s improving things but he wrecked what Trump had in place and opened the border.

Trump: “We had the safest border at the end of my administration. All he had to do was leave it.” Now we have the worst border in history.

You will conduct the largest deportation in history? How? Trump ignores question and hammers Biden on immigration.

Biden refers to his son dying from exposure to burn pits in Iraq. A tired trope.

Trump seems to be triggering Biden. I thought it would be the other way around. Biden is a nasty piece of work.

Russia/Ukraine: Are Putin’s terms acceptable to Trump? Trump hammers Biden on Putin’s invasion of Ukraine, refers to Afghanistan and the disaster it was.

Trump: “The whole world is blowing up under him.” Great quote and good for pointing it out.

Putin’s terms are not acceptable to Trump.

Trump seems to be benefiting from the format. It’s kept him focused and disciplined.

Middle East: Hamas attacks Israel: five Americans held hostage.

Does anyone else notice that Biden’s eyes look almost black?

January 6th: did Trump violate his oath? Trump avoids the question but blames Pelosi for the chaos and points out the recent video of her admitting she was responsible.

Great contrast between Biden and Trump on January 6. Biden thinks all the J6 prisoners deserve what they got.

Is Biden listening to someone? He touches his ear, then writes notes. Watch his eyes.

Biden is hammering Trump with a bunch of lies. Trump doesn’t get rattled … holds up great.

“There are fine people on both sides.” Biden repeats the lie that has been debunked. Even by Snopes.

Biden is losing it. Trump is getting under his skin.

To Biden: black families earn less than white families. What will you do to help? Biden is struggling in his answer. Hard to understand. He just admitted that inflation is hurting black families badly. He’s going to give blacks a $10,000 tax credit when they buy a house.

Trump is hammering Biden on inflation again. Biden: the economy was flat on its back … that’s why there was no inflation when I got it. So he admits there was no inflation when he became president.

All they are doing is hurling accusations at each other.

Climate crisis. “Extreme heat.” Will Trump do anything to combat climate crisis? Trump goes back to police and blacks and Hispanics. Yes, Trump wants “absolutely clean water and air.”

Biden’s repeated words are “damn” and “the idea.” And numbering his points.

Biden goes after the rich to “pay their fair share.” Along with giving blacks a $10,000 tax credit, he’s doing a bang up job dividing us.

Biden is running his sentences together.

Trump accuses Biden of being a liar. He is.

Biden credits “the fastest growing economy in the world” to immigrants. What a doofus.

Trump goes back to immigration and open borders.

Trump blows off making childcare costs more affordable.

Biden says 159 experts voted Trump the worst president in history. Nana-nana-boo-boo.

Trump regularly ignores the questions and speaks to his own topics.

What will Trump do about drug addiction? Close the border to stop drugs and trafficked women. “We need the machines,” to detect fentynal, Joe says. No, we need to close the border, Joe.

Age questions: Biden will be age 86 at end of term. I’ve spent half of my life in politics. Once the youngest, now the oldest. And he’s done nothing good in all that time except enrich himself.

To Trump: you’ll be 82 at the end of your second term. I’m in good health, mentally and physically. He challenges Joe to play golf with him. Biden boasts about being a six handicap.

What the hell did Biden just say about Trump’s health? They’re getting out of control. Only time in the debate the moderators almost lost control.

To Trump: will you accept the outcome of the election? Violence is unacceptable. If the election is fair and free … I wish Biden was a great president because I wouldn’t be here right now. “Stupid decisions” … if it’s a fair and legal election, I’ll absolutely to accept the results.

Biden accuses Trump of being a “whiner.” Biden sounds like a junior high school mean girl taunting the normal girls.

Trump: Biden does nothing. He says things but does nothing. Nobody respects Biden. Trump touts what he did, like “right to try.” We’re a failing nation. It will be great again.

My summary: The moderators get a passing grade. Trump mopped the floor with Biden. Trump demonstrated some verbal discipline. I think Trump benefitted from the format more than did Biden. He was forced to let Biden hang himself. Trump is very believable, unlike Brandon, who trotted out the old and tired talking points of “Charlottesville-fine-people-on-both-sides” (fully debunked), and reference to his son Beau who died of brain cancer after being exposed to burn pits in Iraq (correlation does not equal causation). Biden came off as a poser who fakes his anger and plays the tough guy that nobody believes he is. He slurred his speech, stuttered, mumbled several times. Trump was short on specifics with his policies and boasted here and there about what he would do as president or what would or wouldn’t have happened if he was still president. Trump avoided directly answering several questions. I don’t like that he accepts exceptions for abortion laws, but I can live with it.

A lot of Dems are panicking and there are lots of commentators who believe Biden will be replaced. I’m beginning to believe it myself.

Lots to contemplate this weekend. Have a good one.

Daily Broadside | Robert DeNiro Barely More Cogent Than Biden During NYC Rant

For most of my life I never paid much attention to actor Robert De Niro. As an actor, he belongs in the ranks of top-tier performers like Al Paccino, Jack Nicholson, Denzel Washington, Tommy Lee Jones and Gary Oldman.

But Robert De Niro lost his mind when Trump was elected and still hasn’t recovered. It’s always puzzled me. If one wanted a case study of TDS, rage junkie De Niro is it.

Following Biden’s embrace of one-hit wonder Mark Hamill four weeks ago, his campaign arranges a “press conference” featuring De Niro outside the court where Trump’s trial is taking place.

And he shows up with a mask. A mask!

That’s so 2020.

So what drives De Niro’s contempt for Trump? He’s short on specifics but long on speculation.

De Niro, 80, has already narrated ads for the Biden campaign, and told reporters Tuesday that Trump “wants to sow total chaos” and “destroy not only the city” before expanding his argument to say “eventually he could destroy the whole world.”

“I don’t mean to scare you. No, wait, maybe I do mean to scare you,” he said at one point. “If Trump returns to the White House, you can kiss these freedoms goodbye that we all take for granted.

“And elections. Forget about it. That’s over. That’s done. If he gets in. I can tell you right now. He will never leave. He will never leave. You know that. He will never leave.”

Trump will sow total chaos, destroy the city, destroy the country, destroy the whole world, take away our freedoms, and will never leave.

Sowing total chaos? Like admitting tens of millions of foreigners into the country illegally? Like confusing children about their “gender”? Like letting thieves and homicidal maniacs back on the streets with no cash bail after they commit crime?

Destroy the city? Like Democrat governors did in New York, Los Angeles, Detroit and Chicago? Or like in East Palestine, Ohio, where a train derailment resulted in a toxic chemical spill that Biden could care less about?

Destroy the country? Like destroying businesses during Covid? Like shutting down coal? Shutting down the Keystone pipeline?

Destroy the world? Like in Ukraine, Afghanistan and Israel?

Take away our freedoms? Like censoring topics on Twitter/X? Like putting hundreds of patriots in jail indefinitely without due process over nothing more than walking through the Capitol when invited in by the Capitol police? Like mandating masks and like Biden telling us he’s losing patience with those of us who refused the “vaccines”?

Never leave? Like when Biden and his gang steal the election later this year?

There’s only two options here: he either believes his hype or he doesn’t, and I’m inclined to think he believes it.

It’s fascinating and infuriating, but not impossible to believe that he’s serious.

It’s delusional. It’s exactly the kind of things that conservatives would say about Biden, but we’ve got evidence to back up our assertions that De Niro and his constituency have to ignore.

When Trump goes after the Deep State and the grifting rulers, that’s “sowing total chaos.” That’s upsetting the elites like De Niro, who like their place above the “clowns” that he makes room for. Yes, he actually said that.

It’s so weird.

If you have the stomach for it, you can watch the whole thing here:

De Niro’s fragile ego takes a hit when counter-protestors call him “washed up” and a “mook.” I had to look up what a mook was: a foolish, insignificant, or contemptible person. You know, the very thing that De Niro accuses Trump of being.

But he couldn’t take it when it was dished out.

Reality bites when you’re not acting.