Daily Verse | Acts 7:57
At this they covered their ears and, yelling at the top of their voices, they all rushed at him, dragged him out of the city and began to stone him.
Monday’s Reading: Acts 8-9
A couple of times this year, I’ve cautiously said that if the polls are accurate, the Democrats will get blitzed by not just a red wave, but by a crimson tsunami (see here, here and here).
In fact, last week I wrote, “A week from today will either be a red wave of tsunami-sized proportions or a trickle of red leaking through an overflowing toilet in Arizona. For now, I’m feeling optimistic that we will see a flood of Republican wins washing away Democrats for at least a generation.”
I’ve seen nothing to dissuade me from that optimism, but I can’t be entirely sure of what seems to be a building tidal wave until the last votes are counted. I won’t take anything for granted at this point because we got punched in the face over the last six years by a furious and exposed bureaucracy which had been comfortably hidden behind the theatre of Washington’s historical architecture, the costumes of crisp suits, and the polite script of politicians. We had innocently trusted that, with some few exceptions, the decorum and appearance of our political leaders meant the machinations of government were still turning as intended by our Founders.
Now that we know the truth, we cannot unknow and nothing can ever be the same again. Even if we’re able to eliminate the anti-American powers that exist in the federal government, we really cannot go bakc to the way we thought it was before. There needs to be a dismantling of the current federal leviathan and a rebuilding on a much smaller scale, the way our Founders envisioned.
That means that our elections are now existential battles against not just an extremist political party, but against the unelected bureaucrats and other evil actors who want to consolidate power and rule over the American people by forcing us into conformity with their plans.
Anyway—back to the elections. Such illustrious publications as The New Yorker are bracing for a “bloodbath” for the Democrats.
The consensus among a number of G.O.P. pollsters and operatives I spoke to this week is that in the Senate races that are thought to be competitive, Republican candidates are heading for a clean sweep: Mehmet Oz will beat John Fetterman in Pennsylvania, and not just by a point or two; Adam Laxalt looks pretty certain to defeat the incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada; even less regarded candidates such as Blake Masters in Arizona will be carried into office by a predicted wave. “He won’t deserve it, but I think at this point he falls into a Senate seat,” one Republican strategist told me. To these Republican insiders, certain high-profile races in which G.O.P. candidates were already favored now look like potential blowouts—Kari Lake’s campaign for governor in Arizona, J. D. Vance’s for Senate in Ohio. And some races that seemed out of reach, such as the Senate campaign, in New Hampshire, of the election denier Don Bolduc, now look like possible wins. The word that kept coming up in these conversations was “bloodbath.”
Likewise, the man who predicted Brexit and Trump’s victory in 2016 is talking about a “Red Tsunami.”
Here’s what the polls are showing.
Keep an eye on the Georgia Senate race between Walker and Warnock. That could be a bellwether for the rest of the country. GA reports Eastern Standard Time.
JD Vance has a 10-POINT LEAD on Tim Ryan. Again, polls nearly always undercount Republicans, so this poll, if it holds up, bodes well for Vance (and Ohio).
The RCP Generic Congressional Vote has Republicans up by +2.5 points.
Over at 270 To Win: “A consensus outlook for the 2022 House elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. Only districts rated safe by six of them are shown in the darkest shade. You can also view these ratings as a table.”
Everything looks good. Great, even.
But don’t get complacent and don’t get cocky.
These polls tell us what a limited number of people say they will do. To make it a reality, we need every voter to go to the polls and exercise their right to vote. We’ve been waiting for tomorrow since the despicable man currently occupying the White House was wrongly sworn in, in January 2021. It’s time to severely limit the damage he can do with the remainder of his term.
All I can say is, get out and vote.