Daily Verse | Exodus 35:21
… and everyone who was willing and whose heart moved him came and brought an offering to the Lord for the work on the Tent of Meeting …

Tuesday’s Reading: Exodus 38-40

Tuesday and the first day of the second month in the year of our Lord 2022.

A recent Marquette Law School poll claims Brandon beats both Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis by similar margins in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups for the 2024 presidential election.

The survey … found that 43 percent of adults nationwide would support Biden if the 2024 presidential election were held today, while 33 percent would vote for Trump in a one-on-one match-up.

In a hypothetical race against DeSantis, however, Biden polls slightly worse: 41 percent of adults nationwide said they would throw their support behind Biden, while 33 percent would support DeSantis.

All I can say is that their survey sample has to skew Democrat. Seriously, who did they talk to—voters in Portland?

After record inflation, open borders, more COVID deaths than under Trump, and near-anarchy in our cities, you’re telling me that 4-in-10 adults would still vote for Biden over Trump or DeSantis?

C’mon, man.

I mean, 40 percent is not 70 percent, so we have that going for us.

But then there’s this Harvard-Harris poll, which seems to herald a realignment of political loyalty.

In the latest Harvard-Harris poll, former President Donald Trump’s net favorability rating is 17 points higher than His Fraudulency Joe Biden’s.
[…]
Trump’s favorability is eight points higher than Slow Joe’s. Trump’s unfavorable rating is nine points lower. Trump is three points above the water. Biden is 14 points under the water.
[…]
Oh, and if the election were held today, Trump would beat Biden 46 to 40 percent. Oh, and when asked who’s been a better president, Trump beats Biden, 53 to 47 percent.

So which is it? The Marquette survey (Biden over Trump 43-33) or the Harvard-Harris poll (Trump over Biden 46-40)?

Here are two more data points to consider: In the RealClearPolitics poll of polls on favorability, Brandon is down -12.2 net points and Trump is only down -9.0 net points. That seems to match reality better than the law school’s survey.

The second data point is how Americans perceive Congress right now. Monmouth University Polling found that “Few Americans believe that either political party truly cares about the average family’s pocketbook.”

Just 19% of the public approves of the job Congress is currently doing. Almost 3 in 4 (74%) disapprove – including 81% of Republicans and 59% of Democrats. Just 24% of Americans feel the country is headed in the right direction. Another warning sign for the party in power is a shift in self-reported partisan affiliation. Currently, 26% of American adults identify themselves as Democrats, a number that ranged from 30% to 34% in Monmouth polling throughout last year. Republican identifiers currently stand at 31% of the population, which is up from a range of 23% to 27% in 2021. Moreover, when these numbers are combined with independents who say they lean toward either party, Republicans (51%) have a decided advantage over Democrats (41%).

A political consultant recently told me that people identify more and more as independents and that those independents are increasingly favoring Republicans. Not because Republicans are offering a more compelling story, but because Democrats have embraced the crazy and are scaring citizens.

Finally, one other poll from Politico and Morning Consult that has some interesting findings. When asked “If the 2024 presidential election were held today, would you vote for Joe Biden or the eventual Republican candidate?” 46 percent said they’d vote for the eventual Republican candidate and 37 percent said they’d vote for Brandon.

But when a specific person replaced the “Republican candidate,” the story was different. If the Republican candidate was Trump, Brandon would beat him 45%–44%; if it was Ron DeSantis, Brandon would beat him 44%–39%. Apparently, people are willing to vote for the “eventual Republican candidate” unless it’s the party favorites.

The conflicting results from different polls tell me that people are frustrated with Brandon and would like to make a change, but they don’t seem to like the choices for 2024. It also tells me that it may take a lot more pain for them to quit Brandon.

That is the most shocking thing of all.